Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.078317 0.091654 0.106527 0.124339 0.145089 0.168497 0.196912
2026-01-18 0.059648 0.076600 0.097277 0.124335 0.158808 0.201264 0.257547
2026-01-25 0.045247 0.063108 0.086692 0.120082 0.166125 0.227391 0.315170
2026-02-01 0.034688 0.052159 0.076957 0.114664 0.170527 0.250251 0.372779
2026-02-08 0.027855 0.044871 0.070673 0.112553 0.178797 0.279554 0.444615
2026-02-15 0.022505 0.038634 0.064629 0.109440 0.184721 0.306126 0.517018
2026-02-22 0.019158 0.034881 0.061688 0.110537 0.197283 0.344915 0.615550
2026-03-01 0.016222 0.031205 0.058132 0.109809 0.206448 0.379369 0.712648
2026-03-08 0.013463 0.027280 0.053369 0.105946 0.209169 0.402772 0.793875
2026-03-15 0.011604 0.024687 0.050570 0.105178 0.217385 0.437317 0.901585
2026-03-22 0.010510 0.023411 0.050072 0.108794 0.234726 0.491954 1.057776
2026-03-29 0.009641 0.022432 0.049986 0.113203 0.254377 0.554218 1.239964
2026-04-05 0.008632 0.021031 0.048936 0.115775 0.271543 0.616256 1.437585
2026-04-12 0.007591 0.019350 0.046974 0.115988 0.283682 0.669981 1.627950
2026-04-19 0.006460 0.017213 0.043559 0.112155 0.285776 0.701729 1.774325
2026-04-26 0.005452 0.015167 0.039965 0.107175 0.284173 0.724666 1.904405
2026-05-03 0.004751 0.013778 0.037744 0.105255 0.289948 0.766681 2.090702
2026-05-10 0.004114 0.012423 0.035343 0.102376 0.292670 0.801559 2.265543
2026-05-17 0.003719 0.011673 0.034432 0.103426 0.306329 0.867589 2.537397
2026-05-24 0.003314 0.010805 0.033018 0.102759 0.315048 0.921931 2.787529
2026-05-31 0.002874 0.009725 0.030767 0.099151 0.314474 0.950255 2.968456
2026-06-07 0.002574 0.009029 0.029538 0.098436 0.322561 1.005203 3.240015
2026-06-14 0.002413 0.008760 0.029592 0.101828 0.344236 1.104792 3.669041